In the olden days, celestial events were taken as omens which foretold the future.
So you might wonder what on Earth it means that an asteroid is heading our way on Friday 13th – which is also the day we found out Boris won the general election.
At about 1 pm UK time, we’re due for a close encounter with a space rock called Asteroid XO1 that could be more than 70 metres wide.
If this object were to hit Earth, it could do some serious damage at a local level, although it’s not big enough to send humanity into extinction.
We’re glad to say that the asteroid is not to here to put us out of our misery. It will zoom harmlessly past and onwards on its long, lonely journey through the heavens.
Here’s what Nasa has previously said about the risk posed by space objects: ‘If a rocky meteoroid larger than 25 meters but smaller than one kilometre (a little more than 1/2 mile) were to hit Earth, it would likely cause local damage to the impact area.
‘We believe anything larger than one to two kilometres could have worldwide effects.’
Earlier this month the European Space Agency has officially confirmed a mission designed to help humanity work out how to protect Earth from the danger posed by apocalypse asteroids.
Space ministers from European nations gathered at a conference called Space19+ in Seville, Spain, where they approved the Hera asteroid mission, which will send spacecraft to a space rock called Didymos – a binary asteroid made up of two objects orbiting each other.
This is ‘part of the Agency’s broader planetary defence initiatives that aim to protect European and world citizens’ from space rocks.
‘Hera will be humanity’s first-ever spacecraft to visit a double asteroid, the Didymos binary system,’ ESA wrote in a statement.
In the first stage of the mission, a spacecraft will smash into the space rock. Then a second ship will assess the crash site and gather data on the effects of the collision.
Nasa is already working on a craft called Double Asteroid Impact Test, whilst Italy will send a small CubeSat satellite to monitor the action.
The ESA mission is called Hera and will perform a ‘close-up survey of the post-impact asteroid’ and gather measurements such as the asteroid’s mass as well as the size of the crater left behind after impact
‘First, Nasa will crash its DART spacecraft into the smaller asteroid – known as Didymoon – before ESA’s Hera comes in to map the resulting impact crater and measure the asteroid’s mass,’ ESA wrote.
‘Hera will carry two CubeSats on board, which will be able to fly much closer to the asteroid’s surface, carrying out crucial scientific studies, before touching down. Hera’s up-close observations will turn asteroid deflection into a well-understood planetary defence technique.’
It’s hoped that the cosmic crash will allow scientists to work out the plausibility of deflecting asteroids discovered to be on a collision course with our planet.
Ian Carnelli, who is managing the Hera mission, said: ‘Flying the two missions together will greatly magnify their overall knowledge return. Hera will in fact gather essential data to turn this one-off experiment into an asteroid deflection technique applicable to other asteroids. Hera will also be the first mission to rendezvous with a binary asteroid system, a mysterious class of object believed to make up around 15% of all known asteroids.
‘And our mission will test a variety of important new technologies, including deep space CubeSats, inter-satellite links and autonomous image-based navigation techniques, while also providing us with valuable experience of low-gravity operations.’
The main body of Didymos is roughly 780 metres wide across, with its ‘moonlet’ about the size of Egypt’s Great Pyramid, stretching to about 160 metres wide.
Earlier this year, scientists warned that asteroids are stronger than predicted and said humanity could have a tough time destroying a doomsday space rock on a collision course with Earth.
They found that a huge impact would not turn a city-sized object into a harmless ‘rubble pile’, but leave it with ‘significant strength’.
The findings could have a massive influence on how our species deals with the threat posed by gigantic space rocks.
‘We are impacted fairly often by small asteroids, such as in the Chelyabinsk event a few years ago,’ said K.T. Ramesh of Johns Hopkins University.
‘It is only a matter of time before these questions go from being academic to defining our response to a major threat.
‘We need to have a good idea of what we should do when that time comes – and scientific efforts like this one are critical to help us make those decisions.’
Scientists are currently trying to work out what to do if an asteroid suddenly appears on the horizon.
The latest research considered what would happen if we smashed a kilometre-wide asteroid into another that’s 25-kilometres wide – which is easily big enough to wipe out life on Earth.
They found that ‘millions of cracks formed and rippled throughout the asteroid, parts of the [larger] asteroid flowed like sand, and a crater was created’ after the impact.
But after this, ‘the impacted asteroid retained significant strength because it had not cracked completely, indicating that more energy would be needed to destroy asteroids’.
This means we might find it very hard to just go up into space and nuke an asteroid, forcing us to adopt a different strategy to save our species from apocalypse space rocks.
“It may sound like science fiction but a great deal of research considers asteroid collisions,’ said Charles El Mir, lead author of a paper on the research.
‘For example, if there’s an asteroid coming at Earth, are we better off breaking it into small pieces, or nudging it to go a different direction?
‘And if the latter, how much force should we hit it with to move it away without causing it to break? These are actual questions under consideration.’